← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3072291

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

65.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 66.0¢

The market prices this at 65.0%, down 8.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.0%

Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 65.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)

Change 24h-8.00pt

Change 7d-8.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,492

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$321 / $347

Imbalance48% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.3 / 100

RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.58

RSI (14, hourly)35.1

Realized vol 7d0.96pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 10h.

Time to resolve117d 10h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%