← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3072292

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

31.0% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 32.0¢

The market prices this at 31.0%, down 13.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability31.0%

Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (6.5%)

Change 24h-13.50pt

Change 7d+6.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,967

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$140 / $112

Imbalance33% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.1 / 100

RSI 18 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46

RSI (14, hourly)18.2

Realized vol 7d1.68pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 10h.

Time to resolve117d 10h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%