← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3072293
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
17.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$163 / $285
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.07
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 10h.
Time to resolve117d 10h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%