← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3081879
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
3.3% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 3.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability3.4%
Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 3.4¢ / 3.3¢
Spread0.2¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$375 / $1,007
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.39
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%