← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3093460
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
61.4% implied · bid 61.3¢ · ask 61.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 62.2%, up 46.5pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability62.2%
Bid / ask / mid61.3¢ / 61.5¢ / 61.4¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+46.45pt
Change 7d+51.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$891
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$166 / $82
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean5.71
RSI (14, hourly)79.0
Realized vol 7d5.18pt
Change 1h+43.80pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 9h.
Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%