← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3120760
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,816
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,964 / $1,504
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.74
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.59pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 57d 11h.
Time to resolve57d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%