← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3128886
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
60.3% implied · bid 60.2¢ · ask 60.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 60.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability60.3%
Bid / ask / mid60.2¢ / 60.4¢ / 60.3¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d-8.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$38,585
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,684 / $9,185
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score60.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.57
RSI (14, hourly)52.5
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%