← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3128887
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
18.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 19.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability19.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 18.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$84,023
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$101,495 / $2,624
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.49
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.56pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%