← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3128888
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
36.0% implied · bid 35.0¢ · ask 37.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 36.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability36.0%
Bid / ask / mid35.0¢ / 37.0¢ / 36.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (5.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$33,177
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,569 / $2,671
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.89
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 57d 11h.
Time to resolve57d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%