← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3206942
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30?
1.8% implied · bid 0.9¢ · ask 2.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid0.9¢ / 2.6¢ / 1.8¢
Spread1.7¢ (97.1%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d-0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,610
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$83 / $70
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23
RSI (14, hourly)39.0
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h-0.95pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%