← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3207815
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?
79.0% implied · bid 61.3¢ · ask 96.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.0%, up 30.3pt over 24h, on a 35.3¢ spread.
Implied probability96.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.3¢ / 96.6¢ / 79.0¢
Spread35.3¢ (44.7%)
Change 24h+30.25pt
Change 7d+19.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$266
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 94 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean5.91
RSI (14, hourly)93.8
Realized vol 7d2.24pt
Change 1h+31.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%