← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3211872
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
89.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 90.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 81.0%, up 38.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability81.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+38.00pt
Change 7d+23.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,027
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$626 / $1,081
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.69
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d3.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 9h.
Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%