← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212174
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
40.1% implied · bid 37.2¢ · ask 43.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 42.5%, up 1.6pt over 24h, on a 5.8¢ spread.
Implied probability42.5%
Bid / ask / mid37.2¢ / 43.0¢ / 40.1¢
Spread5.8¢ (14.5%)
Change 24h+1.55pt
Change 7d-20.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 21/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$918
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$108 / $446
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score21.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.85
RSI (14, hourly)59.7
Realized vol 7d2.22pt
Change 1h+0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 6h.
Time to resolve24d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%