← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212175
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
59.6% implied · bid 58.3¢ · ask 60.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 59.0%, up 2.6pt over 24h, on a 2.6¢ spread.
Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.3¢ / 60.9¢ / 59.6¢
Spread2.6¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+2.60pt
Change 7d+21.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,298
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$99 / $559
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.05
RSI (14, hourly)39.3
Realized vol 7d1.71pt
Change 1h+0.75pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 6h.
Time to resolve24d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%