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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212185

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

94.5% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 95.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 95.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 94.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,061
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24,407 / $586,096
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.34
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d0.33pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 7h.

Time to resolve26d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth