← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212217
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
86.5% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 88.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 86.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.5%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+28.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,221
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$491 / $1,148
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score35.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 64 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.55
RSI (14, hourly)64.0
Realized vol 7d2.58pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 53d 6h.
Time to resolve53d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%