← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212218
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d-30.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$534
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$48 / $91
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.48
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d2.42pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 53d 6h.
Time to resolve53d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%