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Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
83.5% implied · bid 82.0¢ · ask 85.0¢
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The market prices this at 83.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+22.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$433
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$964 / $2,593
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.91
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 7h.
Time to resolve26d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%