← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212531
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
29.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 43.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 27.0¢ spread.
Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread27.0¢ (91.5%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-39.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 57% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance57% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 45 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.81
RSI (14, hourly)44.7
Realized vol 7d3.58pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 11h.
Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%