← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212535
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
95.8% implied · bid 95.1¢ · ask 96.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.2%, up 12.4pt over 24h, on a 1.4¢ spread.
Implied probability96.2%
Bid / ask / mid95.1¢ / 96.5¢ / 95.8¢
Spread1.4¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h+12.40pt
Change 7d+53.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 76% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$5,776
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$929 / $7,647
Imbalance76% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 72 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.95
RSI (14, hourly)71.8
Realized vol 7d2.96pt
Change 1h+0.65pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%