← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3212536
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
95.3% implied · bid 95.3¢ · ask 95.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.4%, up 11.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability95.4%
Bid / ask / mid95.3¢ / 95.4¢ / 95.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+11.35pt
Change 7d+32.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 67/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 57% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$5,387
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,528 / $32,527
Imbalance57% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score66.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.77
RSI (14, hourly)78.6
Realized vol 7d3.54pt
Change 1h-0.55pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%