← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3215006
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
5.3% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 5.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.8%, down 3.2pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability5.8%
Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 5.9¢ / 5.3¢
Spread1.1¢ (20.6%)
Change 24h-3.25pt
Change 7d+0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$31,104
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,861 / $909
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 30 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.55
RSI (14, hourly)30.4
Realized vol 7d0.60pt
Change 1h+0.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 96d 7h.
Time to resolve96d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%