← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3215008
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
44.0% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 45.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 45.0¢ / 44.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.5%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,747
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,823 / $10,377
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.97
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 96d 7h.
Time to resolve96d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%