← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3215009
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
1.8% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 1.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.4%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.4%
Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.8¢
Spread0.2¢ (11.1%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,502
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,673 / $34
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.84
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 96d 7h.
Time to resolve96d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%