← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3215073
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$479
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,779 / $3,698
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.08
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%