← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3231247
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,827
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,817 / $1,714
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.82
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 10h.
Time to resolve117d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%