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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?

93.5% implied · bid 91.2¢ · ask 95.8¢

The market prices this at 94.9%, up 6.3pt over 24h, on a 4.6¢ spread.

Implied probability94.9%

Bid / ask / mid91.2¢ / 95.8¢ / 93.5¢

Spread4.6¢ (4.9%)

Change 24h+6.30pt

Change 7d+18.90pt

Thin (score 28/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$131

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$65 / $1,552

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score27.8 / 100

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.14

RSI (14, hourly)53.4

Realized vol 7d2.07pt

Change 1h+2.25pt

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%