← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3240742
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?
96.4% implied · bid 94.1¢ · ask 98.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.8%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 4.5¢ spread.
Implied probability97.8%
Bid / ask / mid94.1¢ / 98.6¢ / 96.4¢
Spread4.5¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 34/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$19
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$57 / $13,233
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score34.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.90
RSI (14, hourly)64.9
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 9h.
Time to resolve56d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%