← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3240743
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
83.0% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 85.0¢
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The market prices this at 84.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 83.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.8%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 55% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$19
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$247 / $5,128
Imbalance55% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score32.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.52
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d0.72pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 298d 9h.
Time to resolve298d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%