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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?

85.5% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 88.0¢

The market prices this at 83.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%

Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 85.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (5.8%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $347

Imbalance17% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.2 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.91

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d0.54pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 298d 9h.

Time to resolve298d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%