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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3246751

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?

5.5% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 10.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.0%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 10.5¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 10.7¢ / 5.5¢
Spread10.5¢ (192.7%)
Change 24h-7.00pt
Change 7d-6.45pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$49
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.56
RSI (14, hourly)36.1
Realized vol 7d3.56pt
Change 1h-17.40pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth