← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3247642
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,578
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,221 / $6,388
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score51.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.47
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 7h.
Time to resolve26d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%