← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3275539

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?

98.9% implied · bid 98.5¢ · ask 99.2¢

The market prices this at 98.4%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability98.4%

Bid / ask / mid98.5¢ / 99.2¢ / 98.9¢

Spread0.7¢ (0.7%)

Change 24h-1.05pt

Change 7d+18.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28,721

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,141 / $12,253

Imbalance45% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score54.7 / 100

RSI 21 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.23

RSI (14, hourly)20.6

Realized vol 7d0.91pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 7h.

Time to resolve26d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%