← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3275540

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?

99.1% implied · bid 98.5¢ · ask 99.7¢

The market prices this at 99.8%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability99.8%

Bid / ask / mid98.5¢ / 99.7¢ / 99.1¢

Spread1.2¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h-0.80pt

Change 7d+10.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 56% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$15,203

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,715 / $7,363

Imbalance56% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score51.0 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.37

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.51pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 57d 7h.

Time to resolve57d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%