← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3315193
Exact Score: SC Braga 0 - 1 Gil Vicente FC?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 7.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-5.45pt
Change 7d-3.95pt
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$947
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 18 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.03
RSI (14, hourly)17.8
Realized vol 7d2.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskhigh (65)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Order book unavailable.
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.