← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3377750
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
50.0% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 49.1%, up 17.8pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability49.1%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.0%)
Change 24h+17.85pt
Change 7d+49.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$589
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $78
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.36
RSI (14, hourly)46.8
Realized vol 7d3.44pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 275d 6h.
Time to resolve275d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%