← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3379789

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?

95.0% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 96.1¢

The market prices this at 97.3%, down 3.8pt over 24h, on a 2.1¢ spread.

Implied probability97.3%

Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 96.1¢ / 95.0¢

Spread2.1¢ (2.2%)

Change 24h-3.80pt

Change 7d+39.90pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$26,579

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,697 / $21,159

Imbalance18% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score50.9 / 100

RSI 18 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.24

RSI (14, hourly)17.6

Realized vol 7d2.36pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 11d 7h.

Time to resolve11d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%