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Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

56.5% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 60.0¢

The market prices this at 59.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability59.0%

Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 60.0¢ / 56.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (12.4%)

Change 24h+6.00pt

Change 7d+12.00pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$375

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$61 / $25

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.0 / 100

RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.96

RSI (14, hourly)62.5

Realized vol 7d1.12pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 118d 6h.

Time to resolve118d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%