← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3393043
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
78.0% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 79.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,905
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$478 / $3,985
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35
RSI (14, hourly)53.3
Realized vol 7d2.00pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15d 7h.
Time to resolve15d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%