← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3399459
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢
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The market prices this at 74.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$25,778
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,225 / $12,512
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score54.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 57d 3h.
Time to resolve57d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%