← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3399468
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
62.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 63.0¢
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The market prices this at 62.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability62.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 62.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 66/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,386
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,831 / $28,399
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score66.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.93
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.45pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 3h.
Time to resolve118d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%