← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3399473
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
7.0% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,859
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$765 / $1,095
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.32
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.52pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%