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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3479009

Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?

71.0% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 72.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 71.0%, down 9.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h-9.50pt
Change 7d-9.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7,596
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$348 / $2,124
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score41.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 83 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.38
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d1.10pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 6h.

Time to resolve9d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth