← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3479999
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
72.5% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 73.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, up 21.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 72.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+21.50pt
Change 7d+34.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,640
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$403 / $11
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.50
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.92pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 6h.
Time to resolve9d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%