← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3480553
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?
72.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 74.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, up 39.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 72.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+39.00pt
Change 7d+39.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,661
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,534 / $2,370
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 82 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.21
RSI (14, hourly)82.5
Realized vol 7d3.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 9d 6h.
Time to resolve9d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%