← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3501950
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$15,345
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,402 / $1,510
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.43
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 7h.
Time to resolve56d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%