← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3501951

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

15.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

The market prices this at 16.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability16.0%

Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (6.5%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-5.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,894

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,150 / $5,112

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score50.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.19

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.33pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 87d 7h.

Time to resolve87d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%