← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3501952

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0.4% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.5¢

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%

Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (22.2%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-0.30pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$58,657

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,899 / $531

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score50.7 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.01

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 10d 7h.

Time to resolve10d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%