← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3502067
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
88.0% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 90.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 86.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 88.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.5%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$261
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$515 / $366
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.59
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d2.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 27d 6h.
Time to resolve27d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%