← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3504099
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
71.0% implied · bid 69.0¢ · ask 73.0¢
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The market prices this at 73.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability73.0%
Bid / ask / mid69.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 71.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (5.6%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,442
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,020 / $4,744
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score32.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 69 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.99
RSI (14, hourly)69.2
Realized vol 7d1.79pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 6h.
Time to resolve2d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%